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CheckWeather NZ›Terrace End
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Terrace End weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Terrace End's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 53% chance of rain.

18°9°
17°11°
19°10°
17°10°
16°9°
16°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Mainly clear
Feels 8° · Wind 26 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 81%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 85%

Latest for Terrace End: European (ECMWF): 12° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 12° Overcast.

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Terrace End weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Terrace End swings 18°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 5°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1086 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
June
1086 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
6,740
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Terrace End and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Terrace End hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Terrace End 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 9°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17° 10°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16° 9°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 9°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
19° 9°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
19° 12°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
17° 7°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
20° 6°
±4°

Terrace End, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1086 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Terrace End right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Terrace End climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
13°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
20°
12°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
8°
Jun
13°
6°
Jul
12°
5°
Aug
13°
5°
Sep
14°
6°
Oct
16°
8°
Nov
18°
10°
Dec
20°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Terrace End has changed since 1995

Terrace End sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Palmerston North. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Palmerston North page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Terrace End?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C95±2.5 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.2 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C87±6.6 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 20°±47%0% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°±53%0% to 53% chance
Mon±1°19° to 20°±55%0% to 55% chance
Tue±1°17° to 17°±21%77% to 98% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±14%23% to 37% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Terrace End

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Terrace End today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Terrace End's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 53% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Terrace End today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Terrace End on Sunday 25 October: European 53%, American 0%, German 23%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 47%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Terrace End?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Terrace End (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Terrace End?
February is typically the warmest month in Terrace End, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Terrace End get?
The coldest month in Terrace End is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Terrace End get?
Terrace End sees roughly 1086 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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