Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 3°C
Marton weather
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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Marton's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 35% chance of rain.
Marton swings 17°C across the year, from 22°C highs in February to 5°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1045 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
February
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
June
1045 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,740
share this forecast
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Marton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Marton hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Marton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18°9°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°10°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
19°9°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16°9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°8°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
16°10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15°9°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18°8°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
20°8°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
18°12°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16°10°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17°9°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
16°7°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°6°
models agree
Marton, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1045 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Marton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
13°
Feb
22°
14°
Mar
20°
12°
Apr
17°
9°
May
15°
8°
Jun
13°
6°
Jul
11°
5°
Aug
12°
5°
Sep
14°
6°
Oct
15°
7°
Nov
16°
9°
Dec
19°
12°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Marton's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C
Around Marton, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
2 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
2 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.3°C
−10
+4
−2%
1996
−0.8°C
−15
−0
+0%
1997
−0.8°C
−15
+3
+2%
1998
+0.8°C
+19
−4
+4%
1999
+0.6°C
+24
−0
−9%
2000
+0.1°C
+7
+1
+2%
2001
+0.2°C
+0
+5
−5%
2002
−0.3°C
−12
−5
+12%
2003
±0.0°C
+7
+1
+0%
2004
−0.9°C
−8
+7
+6%
2005
+0.2°C
−6
−4
−4%
2006
−0.6°C
−3
+2
+8%
2007
−0.1°C
−7
+1
+2%
2008
+0.1°C
+9
−4
−2%
2009
−0.9°C
−3
+14
+2%
2010
−0.2°C
−9
−0
−2%
2011
−0.2°C
−6
−1
−2%
2012
−0.7°C
−15
−0
+0%
2013
+0.5°C
+17
−5
−2%
2014
−0.2°C
−7
−1
+4%
2015
−0.3°C
+7
+5
+0%
2016
+0.7°C
+19
−0
+4%
2017
±0.0°C
−16
−2
−5%
2018
+0.6°C
+15
−5
−5%
2019
+0.5°C
+9
−2
+4%
2020
+0.2°C
+12
−1
+0%
2021
+0.3°C
−1
−0
−2%
2022
+0.5°C
−5
−2
−5%
2023
+0.2°C
−17
−2
−2%
2024
+0.2°C
−3
−4
−4%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Marton, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Marton?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C
95±2.6 km/h
8290% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C
95±2.7 km/h
5877% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
74
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C
86±6.9 km/h
5877% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°17° to 20°
±11%0% to 11% chance
Tomorrow
±2°16° to 18°
±35%0% to 35% chance
Mon
±1°19° to 20°
±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue
±1°16° to 17°
±35%62% to 97% chance
Wed
±2°14° to 16°
±25%14% to 39% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Marton
today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 29m
Common questions
What's the weather in Marton today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Marton's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 35% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Marton today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Marton on Sunday 25 October: European 35%, American 0%, German 0%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 11%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Marton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Marton (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Marton?
February is typically the warmest month in Marton, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Marton get?
The coldest month in Marton is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Marton get?
Marton sees roughly 1045 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Marton getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Marton, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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