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CheckWeather NZKelvin Grove
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kelvin Grove weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Kelvin Grove today. Tomorrow looks rain around 14°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°10°
14°
13°
15°
13°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Heavy drizzle
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light rain
Today 18°·Low 10°·Rain 87%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Showers
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 83%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kelvin Grove and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
15°
±4°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
models agree

Kelvin Grove, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1457 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kelvin Grove right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Kelvin Grove climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
14°
Feb
21°
13°
Mar
19°
10°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
12°
Aug
12°
Sep
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
17°
10°
Dec
21°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kelvin Grove?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
78
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C94±2.9 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
85±0.9°C84±8.1 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°±12%83% to 95% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree13° to 13°±56%18% to 74% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±10%0% to 10% chance
Thu±2°12° to 14°±39%52% to 91% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kelvin Grove

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
17:57
Daylight
11h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kelvin Grove today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Kelvin Grove today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kelvin Grove today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Kelvin Grove and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kelvin Grove?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kelvin Grove (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kelvin Grove?
January is typically the warmest month in Kelvin Grove, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Kelvin Grove get?
The coldest month in Kelvin Grove is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Kelvin Grove get?
Kelvin Grove sees roughly 1457 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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