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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Hawera weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Hawera today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 41% chance of rain.

18°8°
17°10°
20°7°
17°10°
15°8°
16°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 81%
GermanDWD ICON
11°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 93%

Latest for Hawera: European (ECMWF): 12° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 11° Overcast.

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Hawera weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hawera swings 15°C across the year, from 21°C highs in February to 6°C lows in June, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1697 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
21°C average high
Coldest month
June
6°C average low
Wettest month
October
1697 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hawera and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hawera hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hawera 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 7°
models agree
Tue
Rain
17° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
17° 9°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
18° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 8°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
16° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 8°
models agree

Hawera, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1697 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hawera right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Hawera climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
20°
14°
Feb
21°
14°
Mar
20°
13°
Apr
17°
10°
May
15°
9°
Jun
13°
6°
Jul
12°
6°
Aug
13°
6°
Sep
14°
8°
Oct
15°
8°
Nov
16°
10°
Dec
19°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Hawera's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Hawera, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2022.

1995: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2008: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: +3% vs the 30-year average1999: −4% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: +10% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: +7% vs the 30-year average2005: −6% vs the 30-year average2006: +5% vs the 30-year average2007: −0% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −0% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: −4% vs the 30-year average2018: −6% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: −0% vs the 30-year average2021: −0% vs the 30-year average2022: −0% vs the 30-year average2023: −0% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageWind vs avg
1995−0.2°C−2%
1996−0.5°C−0%
1997−0.7°C+1%
1998+0.5°C+3%
1999+0.5°C−4%
2000±0.0°C+1%
2001+0.2°C−4%
2002−0.1°C+10%
2003±0.0°C−0%
2004−0.9°C+7%
2005+0.2°C−6%
2006−0.6°C+5%
2007−0.2°C−0%
2008+0.1°C+1%
2009−0.8°C+1%
2010−0.2°C−2%
2011−0.1°C+1%
2012−0.6°C−0%
2013+0.2°C−2%
2014−0.2°C+3%
2015−0.2°C−0%
2016+0.5°C+3%
2017+0.1°C−4%
2018+0.6°C−6%
2019+0.4°C+1%
2020−0.1°C−0%
2021+0.3°C−0%
2022+0.8°C−0%
2023+0.4°C−0%
2024+0.1°C−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Hawera, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hawera?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C94±3.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C91±4.6 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C80±10.0 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 19°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±41%0% to 41% chance
Mon±2°19° to 21°±9%0% to 9% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±31%8% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hawera

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
13h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hawera today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Hawera today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 41% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hawera today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Hawera on Sunday 25 October: European 41%, American 0%, German 5%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 10%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hawera?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hawera (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hawera?
February is typically the warmest month in Hawera, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Hawera get?
The coldest month in Hawera is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Hawera get?
Hawera sees roughly 1697 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Hawera getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Hawera, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004.

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