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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CASt. Paul

St. Paul weather

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Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 75%

Latest for St. Paul: Env. Canada (GEM model): 15° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 13° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around St. Paul and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

St. Paul, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 438 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for St. Paul right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

St. Paul climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-9°
-14°
Feb
-6°
-14°
Mar
-4°
-12°
Apr
-1°
May
17°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
22°
12°
Sep
19°
Oct
Nov
-1°
-7°
Dec
-4°
-11°

Which forecast is most accurate in St. Paul?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C94±3.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C88±5.9 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in St. Paul today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for St. Paul today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in St. Paul today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for St. Paul and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for St. Paul?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for St. Paul (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in St. Paul?
July is typically the warmest month in St. Paul, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does St. Paul get?
The coldest month in St. Paul is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does St. Paul get?
St. Paul sees roughly 438 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather