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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAWainwright
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Wainwright weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Wainwright's high today between 16° and 19°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 17°, with a 77% chance of rain.

17°11°
17°11°
14°12°
19°12°
22°10°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 59%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 11°·Rain 11%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Wainwright and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Mon
Rain
14° 12°
±3°
Tue
Showers
19° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
22° 10°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±7°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
18°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree

Wainwright is a small town of about 6,270 people in Alberta, sitting at 52.8°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Wainwright with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Lloydminster, Vegreville, St. Paul.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wainwright?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±2.4 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±3.1 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°16° to 19°±48%11% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 17°±52%25% to 77% chance
Mon±3°13° to 16°±12%64% to 76% chance
Tue±4°18° to 21°±14%57% to 71% chance
Wed±3°20° to 23°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wainwright

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
20:02
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wainwright today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Wainwright today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wainwright today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Wainwright and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wainwright?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wainwright (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather