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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Grand Centre weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 0° in Grand Centre today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 1°, with a 8% chance of rain.

0°-3°
1°-5°
4°-5°
4°0°
2°-2°
0°-4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-2°
Overcast
Feels -9° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 79%
EuropeanECMWF
0°
Overcast
Feels -8° · Wind 38 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-2°
Overcast
Feels -10° · Wind 36 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Grand Centre: Env. Canada (GEM model): -2° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 0° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): -2° Overcast.

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Grand Centre weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Grand Centre swings 41°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -17°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 436 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-17°C average low
Wettest month
July
436 mm a year
Below freezing
7 months
January, February, March, April, October, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
7,256
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Grand Centre and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Grand Centre hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Grand Centre 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
0° -3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
1° -5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
4° -5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
4° 0°
models agree
Wed
Snow
2° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light snow
0° -4°
±2°
Fri
Snow
0° -4°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
1° -4°
models agree
Sun
Light snow
2° -5°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
5° -2°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
5° 0°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
6° 0°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
±3°

Grand Centre, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -17°C), with roughly 436 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Grand Centre right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Grand Centre climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-11°
-17°
Feb
-8°
-16°
Mar
0°
-11°
Apr
9°
-3°
May
16°
5°
Jun
21°
10°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
22°
11°
Sep
16°
5°
Oct
8°
-1°
Nov
-3°
-9°
Dec
-8°
-16°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Grand Centre has changed since 1995

Grand Centre sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cold Lake. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Cold Lake page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Grand Centre?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C92±4.0 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #3
88±0.6°C95±2.5 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°-1° to 1°±75%10% to 85% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree0° to 1°±8%0% to 8% chance
Mon±1°4° to 5°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°2° to 4°±32%19% to 51% chance
Wed±1°2° to 3°±23%32% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grand Centre

today, local time
Sunrise
08:07
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
9h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grand Centre today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 0° in Grand Centre today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 1°, with a 8% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Grand Centre today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Grand Centre on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 8% (Env. Canada 0%, European 8%, American 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 85%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grand Centre?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Grand Centre (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Grand Centre?
July is typically the warmest month in Grand Centre, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Grand Centre get?
The coldest month in Grand Centre is January, when overnight lows average about -17°C.
How much rain does Grand Centre get?
Grand Centre sees roughly 436 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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