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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACold Lake
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Cold Lake weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Cold Lake today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 44% chance of rain.

15°12°
16°12°
15°12°
21°11°
20°
17°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 13°·Rain 38%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 13°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cold Lake and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree
Mon
Rain
15° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 11°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
12° 10°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15° 10°
±2°

Cold Lake is a small town of about 12,000 people in Alberta, sitting at 54.5°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Cold Lake with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Grand Centre, Bonnyville, St. Paul.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cold Lake?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C94±3.2 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C93±3.7 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 16°±32%6% to 38% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°±28%16% to 44% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±45%37% to 82% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±12%27% to 39% chance
Wed±1°20° to 21°±5%5% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cold Lake

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
20:02
Daylight
13h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cold Lake today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Cold Lake today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cold Lake today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Cold Lake and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cold Lake?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cold Lake (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather