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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Fort Saskatchewan weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Fort Saskatchewan today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 2°, with a 1% chance of rain.

2°-4°
2°-6°
5°-4°
5°-4°
0°-3°
-1°-6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
-2°
Clear
Feels -9° · Wind 25 km/h · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
-1°
Clear
Feels -8° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-1°
Clear
Feels -8° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 64%

Latest for Fort Saskatchewan: Env. Canada (GEM model): -2° Clear · European (ECMWF): -1° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): -1° Clear.

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Fort Saskatchewan weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fort Saskatchewan swings 37°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 445 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 25 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 185 frost nights, and rain on 96 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
July
445 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
25 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
185 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
96 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fort Saskatchewan’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Fort Saskatchewan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fort Saskatchewan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fort Saskatchewan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
2° -4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
2° -6°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
5° -4°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
5° -4°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
0° -3°
±3°
Thu
Light snow
-1° -6°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
0° -6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
1° -6°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
7° -6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
7° -1°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
8° 1°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
8° 2°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
±7°

Fort Saskatchewan, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 445 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Fort Saskatchewan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Fort Saskatchewan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-15°
Mar
-1°
-10°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
17°
5°
Jun
20°
9°
Jul
22°
12°
Aug
21°
11°
Sep
16°
5°
Oct
9°
0°
Nov
0°
-7°
Dec
-6°
-14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fort Saskatchewan has changed since 1995

Fort Saskatchewan sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sherwood Park. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Sherwood Park page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Saskatchewan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C97±1.5 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C92±3.9 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C97±1.6 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°1° to 3°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°1° to 3°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°4° to 6°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±1°4° to 5°±25%8% to 33% chance
Wed±3°-1° to 2°±26%13% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Saskatchewan

today, local time
Sunrise
08:17
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
9h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Saskatchewan today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Fort Saskatchewan today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 2°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fort Saskatchewan today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Fort Saskatchewan on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Saskatchewan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Saskatchewan (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Saskatchewan?
July is typically the warmest month in Fort Saskatchewan, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Fort Saskatchewan get?
The coldest month in Fort Saskatchewan is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Fort Saskatchewan get?
Fort Saskatchewan sees roughly 445 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather