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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CARed Deer
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Red Deer weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Red Deer's high today between 12° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 16°, with a 84% chance of rain.

14°
16°10°
14°11°
19°10°
23°10°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±12°
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 67%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low 10°·Rain 28%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 4%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Red Deer and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 11°
±4°
Tue
Rain
19° 10°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
±12°
Fri
Light drizzle
11°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
12°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
19°
±4°
Mon
Clear
21°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±9°

Red Deer, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 494 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Red Deer right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Red Deer climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-14°
Feb
-2°
-13°
Mar
-1°
-13°
Apr
10°
-2°
May
18°
Jun
20°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
11°
Sep
19°
Oct
11°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-1°
-9°

Which forecast is most accurate in Red Deer?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C92±3.9 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #3
65±2.0°C93±3.3 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°12° to 15°±63%4% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±54%30% to 84% chance
Mon±4°13° to 16°±11%58% to 69% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±4%31% to 35% chance
Wed±2°23° to 24°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Red Deer

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Red Deer today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Red Deer today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Red Deer today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Red Deer and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Red Deer?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Red Deer (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Red Deer?
July is typically the warmest month in Red Deer, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Red Deer get?
The coldest month in Red Deer is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Red Deer get?
Red Deer sees roughly 494 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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