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CheckWeather CAPonoka
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Ponoka weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Ponoka today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 17°, with a 78% chance of rain.

13°10°
17°10°
14°11°
20°10°
23°10°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low 10°·Rain 38%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low 10°·Rain 39%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Ponoka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±3°
Mon
Showers
14° 11°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
11°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
12°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±8°

Ponoka is a small town of about 6,656 people in Alberta, sitting at 52.7°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Ponoka with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Lacombe, Wetaskiwin, Blackfalds.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ponoka?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±2.0 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C93±3.4 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C93±3.7 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°±34%5% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±3°16° to 18°±52%26% to 78% chance
Mon±2°13° to 16°±24%53% to 77% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±25%27% to 52% chance
Wedmodels agree22° to 23°±9%4% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ponoka

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ponoka today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Ponoka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ponoka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Ponoka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ponoka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ponoka (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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