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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Olds weather

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Cloudy,snow likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Olds today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 1°, with a 38% chance of rain.

2°-3°
1°-5°
3°-5°
5°-4°
0°-4°
-2°-7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-3°
Mainly clear
Feels -8° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 78%
EuropeanECMWF
-3°
Overcast
Feels -8° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-3°
Overcast
Feels -9° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Olds: Env. Canada (GEM model): -3° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): -3° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): -3° Overcast.

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Olds weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Olds swings 35°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to -14°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 506 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
June
506 mm a year
Below freezing
7 months
January, February, March, April, October, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
9,209
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Olds and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Olds hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Olds 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
2° -3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light snow
1° -5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
3° -5°
±3°
Tue
Snow
5° -4°
models agree
Wed
Snow
0° -4°
±3°
Thu
Snow
-2° -7°
±5°
Fri
Light snow
1° -6°
±12°
Sat
Cloudy
1° -8°
±13°
Sun
Mostly clear
6° -5°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
7° -1°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 0°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
7° -1°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 2°
±6°

Olds, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 506 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Olds right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Olds climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-5°
-14°
Feb
-2°
-12°
Mar
1°
-9°
Apr
9°
-3°
May
16°
3°
Jun
19°
7°
Jul
21°
10°
Aug
21°
9°
Sep
18°
6°
Oct
9°
-1°
Nov
1°
-7°
Dec
-4°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Olds' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°C

Around Olds, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1996: −2.7°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2007: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2012: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2023: +2.1°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

7 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −16 vs the 30-year average1996: +2 vs the 30-year average1997: −12 vs the 30-year average1998: +6 vs the 30-year average1999: −14 vs the 30-year average2000: −9 vs the 30-year average2001: +16 vs the 30-year average2002: +13 vs the 30-year average2003: +15 vs the 30-year average2004: −18 vs the 30-year average2005: −14 vs the 30-year average2006: +15 vs the 30-year average2007: −5 vs the 30-year average2008: −3 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: −14 vs the 30-year average2011: −8 vs the 30-year average2012: +8 vs the 30-year average2013: +3 vs the 30-year average2014: −0 vs the 30-year average2015: +5 vs the 30-year average2016: −13 vs the 30-year average2017: +15 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: −22 vs the 30-year average2020: −15 vs the 30-year average2021: +21 vs the 30-year average2022: +14 vs the 30-year average2023: +22 vs the 30-year average2024: +10 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

7 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +11 vs the 30-year average1996: +6 vs the 30-year average1997: +8 vs the 30-year average1998: −12 vs the 30-year average1999: −3 vs the 30-year average2000: +3 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +14 vs the 30-year average2003: +1 vs the 30-year average2004: +0 vs the 30-year average2005: −9 vs the 30-year average2006: −7 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: +3 vs the 30-year average2009: +20 vs the 30-year average2010: +2 vs the 30-year average2011: +4 vs the 30-year average2012: +0 vs the 30-year average2013: −1 vs the 30-year average2014: −1 vs the 30-year average2015: −7 vs the 30-year average2016: −16 vs the 30-year average2017: +1 vs the 30-year average2018: +10 vs the 30-year average2019: +5 vs the 30-year average2020: +0 vs the 30-year average2021: +4 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: −14 vs the 30-year average2024: −17 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: −7% vs the 30-year average1999: −2% vs the 30-year average2000: −5% vs the 30-year average2001: +1% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: +3% vs the 30-year average2010: −5% vs the 30-year average2011: +6% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: +3% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: +1% vs the 30-year average2022: +6% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°C−16+11−5%
1996−2.7°C+2+6+1%
1997−0.1°C−12+8+1%
1998+0.6°C+6−12−7%
1999+0.4°C−14−3−2%
2000−0.5°C−9+3−5%
2001+0.9°C+16−3+1%
2002−0.3°C+13+14+1%
2003±0.0°C+15+1+1%
2004+0.1°C−18+0+1%
2005+0.1°C−14−9+1%
2006+0.8°C+15−7−2%
2007±0.0°C−5−1+3%
2008−0.4°C−3+3−2%
2009−0.7°C+5+20+3%
2010−0.2°C−14+2−5%
2011−0.7°C−8+4+6%
2012+0.1°C+8+0+3%
2013+0.1°C+3−1+1%
2014−0.4°C−0−1+1%
2015+1.1°C+5−7+1%
2016+1.1°C−13−16−2%
2017±0.0°C+15+1+3%
2018−0.4°C+8+10−2%
2019−1.1°C−22+5−2%
2020−0.4°C−15+0+6%
2021+0.2°C+21+4+1%
2022+0.4°C+14−6+6%
2023+2.1°C+22−14−2%
2024+0.6°C+10−17−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Olds, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Olds?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.5 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
91
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
89
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C89±5.3 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree2° to 2°±9%0% to 9% chance
Tomorrow±1°0° to 1°±24%14% to 38% chance
Mon±3°3° to 5°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±1°4° to 5°±6%13% to 19% chance
Wed±3°-1° to 2°±15%29% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Olds

today, local time
Sunrise
08:16
Sunset
18:23
Daylight
10h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Olds today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Olds today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 1°, with a 38% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Olds today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Olds on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 38%, European 14%, American 23%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 9%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Olds?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Olds (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Olds?
July is typically the warmest month in Olds, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Olds get?
The coldest month in Olds is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Olds get?
Olds sees roughly 506 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Olds getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Olds, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather