Skip to main content
Every Canadian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CAInnisfail
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Innisfail weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Innisfail's high today between 12° and 14°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 15°, with a 78% chance of rain.

13°
15°
14°11°
20°
23°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±13°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 9%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Innisfail and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Rain
15°
±3°
Mon
Showers
14° 11°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
20°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
23°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
18°
±13°
Fri
Light drizzle
11°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
11°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
19°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
13°
±6°

Innisfail, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -13°C), with roughly 545 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Innisfail right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Innisfail climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-13°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-1°
-12°
Apr
10°
-2°
May
18°
Jun
20°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
11°
Sep
19°
Oct
11°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-1°
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in Innisfail?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±2.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C94±3.2 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
74±1.5°C94±3.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°12° to 14°±28%9% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±3°14° to 18°±41%37% to 78% chance
Mon±3°12° to 16°±17%55% to 72% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±3%38% to 41% chance
Wed±2°23° to 24°±8%0% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Innisfail

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Innisfail today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Innisfail today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Innisfail today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Innisfail and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Innisfail?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Innisfail (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Innisfail?
July is typically the warmest month in Innisfail, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Innisfail get?
The coldest month in Innisfail is January, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Innisfail get?
Innisfail sees roughly 545 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather