Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 4°C
Port-Cartier weather
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Clear,much the same tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Port-Cartier's high today between 10° and 14°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 48% chance of rain.
Port-Cartier swings 38°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to -19°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1074 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
-19°C average low
Wettest month
October
1074 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
6,516
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Port-Cartier and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port-Cartier hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Port-Cartier 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12°0°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14°2°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11°1°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
5°0°
models agree
Wed
Clear
7°-2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
5°-3°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
8°1°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
6°-2°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
6°-4°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
9°1°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
7°5°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
8°3°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
5°0°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
4°-1°
models agree
Port-Cartier, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -19°C), with roughly 1074 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Port-Cartier right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-19°
Feb
-8°
-17°
Mar
-4°
-10°
Apr
2°
-5°
May
11°
3°
Jun
16°
9°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
15°
8°
Oct
8°
2°
Nov
2°
-4°
Dec
-6°
-13°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Port-Cartier's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°C
Around Port-Cartier, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.8°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Frost nights
4 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.7°C
+4
−2%
1996
−0.5°C
+12
−2%
1997
−1.5°C
+6
−2%
1998
+0.3°C
−13
+1%
1999
+0.6°C
+4
+4%
2000
−0.6°C
+5
−2%
2001
+0.5°C
−2
−2%
2002
−1.2°C
+22
−2%
2003
−0.7°C
+5
+1%
2004
−0.9°C
+11
−2%
2005
−0.3°C
−5
+1%
2006
+0.9°C
−9
−5%
2007
−0.8°C
+2
+4%
2008
−0.4°C
−5
−2%
2009
−0.4°C
+10
+1%
2010
+2.1°C
−28
+1%
2011
+0.1°C
−3
+1%
2012
+0.7°C
−9
−2%
2013
−0.2°C
−2
+1%
2014
−0.3°C
+2
+1%
2015
−0.9°C
+8
+1%
2016
−0.1°C
−6
+4%
2017
−0.3°C
+2
+1%
2018
−0.8°C
+22
+4%
2019
−0.8°C
+5
+6%
2020
+0.4°C
+17
−2%
2021
+2.0°C
−18
−2%
2022
+0.1°C
−1
+4%
2023
+1.4°C
−8
−2%
2024
+2.5°C
−15
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Port-Cartier, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Port-Cartier?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C
97±1.4 km/h
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C
95±2.3 km/h
7687% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American
75
/100rank #3
62±2.1°C
94±3.0 km/h
7687% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±4°10° to 14°
±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow
±3°12° to 15°
±43%5% to 48% chance
Mon
±2°10° to 12°
±20%5% to 25% chance
Tue
±1°4° to 5°
±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed
±1°6° to 7°
±1%0% to 1% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Port-Cartier
today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
17:18
Daylight
10h 14m
Common questions
What's the weather in Port-Cartier today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Port-Cartier's high today between 10° and 14°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 48% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Port-Cartier today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Port-Cartier on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 5%, European 48%, American 6%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port-Cartier?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port-Cartier (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port-Cartier?
July is typically the warmest month in Port-Cartier, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Port-Cartier get?
The coldest month in Port-Cartier is January, when overnight lows average about -19°C.
How much rain does Port-Cartier get?
Port-Cartier sees roughly 1074 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Port-Cartier getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Port-Cartier, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.8°C, within the normal swing from year to year.