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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Port-Cartier weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Port-Cartier's high today between 10° and 14°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 48% chance of rain.

12°0°
14°2°
11°1°
5°0°
7°-2°
5°-3°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
-1°
Clear
Feels -6° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 89%
EuropeanECMWF
3°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
2°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 62%

Latest for Port-Cartier: Env. Canada (GEM model): -1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 3° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 2° Clear.

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Port-Cartier weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Port-Cartier swings 38°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to -19°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1074 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
-19°C average low
Wettest month
October
1074 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
6,516
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Port-Cartier and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port-Cartier hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Port-Cartier 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12° 0°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14° 2°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 1°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
5° 0°
models agree
Wed
Clear
7° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
5° -3°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 1°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
6° -2°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
6° -4°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
9° 1°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
7° 5°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 3°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
5° 0°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
4° -1°
models agree

Port-Cartier, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -19°C), with roughly 1074 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Port-Cartier right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Port-Cartier climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-19°
Feb
-8°
-17°
Mar
-4°
-10°
Apr
2°
-5°
May
11°
3°
Jun
16°
9°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
15°
8°
Oct
8°
2°
Nov
2°
-4°
Dec
-6°
-13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Port-Cartier's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°C

Around Port-Cartier, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.8°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.5°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2010: +2.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2012: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2019: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: +2.0°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +2.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

4 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4 vs the 30-year average1996: +12 vs the 30-year average1997: +6 vs the 30-year average1998: −13 vs the 30-year average1999: +4 vs the 30-year average2000: +5 vs the 30-year average2001: −2 vs the 30-year average2002: +22 vs the 30-year average2003: +5 vs the 30-year average2004: +11 vs the 30-year average2005: −5 vs the 30-year average2006: −9 vs the 30-year average2007: +2 vs the 30-year average2008: −5 vs the 30-year average2009: +10 vs the 30-year average2010: −28 vs the 30-year average2011: −3 vs the 30-year average2012: −9 vs the 30-year average2013: −2 vs the 30-year average2014: +2 vs the 30-year average2015: +8 vs the 30-year average2016: −6 vs the 30-year average2017: +2 vs the 30-year average2018: +22 vs the 30-year average2019: +5 vs the 30-year average2020: +17 vs the 30-year average2021: −18 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −8 vs the 30-year average2024: −15 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −5% vs the 30-year average2007: +4% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: +4% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: +4% vs the 30-year average2019: +6% vs the 30-year average2020: −2% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +4% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°C+4−2%
1996−0.5°C+12−2%
1997−1.5°C+6−2%
1998+0.3°C−13+1%
1999+0.6°C+4+4%
2000−0.6°C+5−2%
2001+0.5°C−2−2%
2002−1.2°C+22−2%
2003−0.7°C+5+1%
2004−0.9°C+11−2%
2005−0.3°C−5+1%
2006+0.9°C−9−5%
2007−0.8°C+2+4%
2008−0.4°C−5−2%
2009−0.4°C+10+1%
2010+2.1°C−28+1%
2011+0.1°C−3+1%
2012+0.7°C−9−2%
2013−0.2°C−2+1%
2014−0.3°C+2+1%
2015−0.9°C+8+1%
2016−0.1°C−6+4%
2017−0.3°C+2+1%
2018−0.8°C+22+4%
2019−0.8°C+5+6%
2020+0.4°C+17−2%
2021+2.0°C−18−2%
2022+0.1°C−1+4%
2023+1.4°C−8−2%
2024+2.5°C−15−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Port-Cartier, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Port-Cartier?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.4 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C95±2.3 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
62±2.1°C94±3.0 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°10° to 14°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 15°±43%5% to 48% chance
Mon±2°10° to 12°±20%5% to 25% chance
Tue±1°4° to 5°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°6° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port-Cartier

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
17:18
Daylight
10h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port-Cartier today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Port-Cartier's high today between 10° and 14°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 48% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Port-Cartier today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Port-Cartier on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 5%, European 48%, American 6%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port-Cartier?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port-Cartier (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port-Cartier?
July is typically the warmest month in Port-Cartier, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Port-Cartier get?
The coldest month in Port-Cartier is January, when overnight lows average about -19°C.
How much rain does Port-Cartier get?
Port-Cartier sees roughly 1074 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Port-Cartier getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Port-Cartier, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.8°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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