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CheckWeather CABaie-Comeau
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Baie-Comeau weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Baie-Comeau's high today between 15° and 18°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 24°, with a 22% chance of rain.

17°11°
24°12°
17°
15°
20°11°
15°11°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Partly cloudy
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low 10°·Rain 4%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Baie-Comeau and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
24° 12°
±3°
Tue
Clear
17°
models agree
Wed
Showers
15°
models agree
Thu
Showers
20° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 11°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
15°
models agree
Sun
Showers
17° 11°
±6°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
17° 10°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
17° 10°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
15° 10°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
14°
models agree

Baie-Comeau, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -15°C), with roughly 988 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Baie-Comeau right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Baie-Comeau climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
-14°
Feb
-6°
-15°
Mar
-6°
Apr
-2°
May
14°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
24°
16°
Aug
21°
14°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
12°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-2°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Baie-Comeau?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C98±0.8 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
72±1.5°C93±3.3 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C94±3.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 18°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±3°22° to 25°±17%5% to 22% chance
Tue±1°17° to 18°±16%5% to 21% chance
Wedmodels agree14° to 15°±17%71% to 88% chance
Thu±2°19° to 21°±9%79% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Baie-Comeau

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
13h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Baie-Comeau today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Baie-Comeau today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Baie-Comeau today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Baie-Comeau and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Baie-Comeau?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Baie-Comeau (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Baie-Comeau?
July is typically the warmest month in Baie-Comeau, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Baie-Comeau get?
The coldest month in Baie-Comeau is February, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Baie-Comeau get?
Baie-Comeau sees roughly 988 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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