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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAMont-Joli
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Mont-Joli weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Mont-Joli today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 21°, with a 37% chance of rain.

16°
21°
15°
17°
19°12°
14°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Mont-Joli and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
19° 12°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
14° 11°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
16° 10°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
20° 13°
±7°
Mon
Light rain
16° 11°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Clear
16°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Clear
13°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
14°
±6°

Mont-Joli is a small town of about 6,568 people in Quebec, sitting at 48.6°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Mont-Joli with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Rimouski, Matane, Amqui.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mont-Joli?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
72±1.5°C95±2.7 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C92±4.0 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 21°±13%24% to 37% chance
Tue±2°13° to 16°±39%18% to 57% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±29%57% to 86% chance
Thu±2°18° to 20°±6%80% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mont-Joli

today, local time
Sunrise
05:57
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mont-Joli today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Mont-Joli today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mont-Joli today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Mont-Joli and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mont-Joli?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mont-Joli (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather