Matane weather
Loading live data…Clear,warmer tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Matane's high today between 9° and 11°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 43% chance of rain.
Latest for Matane: Env. Canada (GEM model): 0° Clear · European (ECMWF): 1° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 0° Fog.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Matane weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherMatane swings 35°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1118 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 162 frost nights, and rain on 154 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Matane’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Matane and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Matane hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Matane 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitMatane, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1118 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Matane right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
Matane climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Matane's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround Matane, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
Frost nights
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Frost nights vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | −1.0°C | +19 | −6% |
| 1996 | −0.5°C | +7 | −4% |
| 1997 | −1.4°C | +15 | −4% |
| 1998 | +0.1°C | −1 | −2% |
| 1999 | +0.5°C | +2 | +1% |
| 2000 | −0.5°C | +3 | −4% |
| 2001 | +0.2°C | +7 | −6% |
| 2002 | −0.9°C | +21 | −2% |
| 2003 | −1.0°C | +11 | +1% |
| 2004 | −1.2°C | +17 | −4% |
| 2005 | +0.4°C | −9 | +7% |
| 2006 | +0.5°C | +1 | −6% |
| 2007 | −0.2°C | −4 | +7% |
| 2008 | ±0.0°C | −15 | −2% |
| 2009 | ±0.0°C | −15 | −2% |
| 2010 | +2.0°C | −35 | −2% |
| 2011 | +0.8°C | −13 | +3% |
| 2012 | +1.2°C | −17 | −2% |
| 2013 | ±0.0°C | −5 | +7% |
| 2014 | ±0.0°C | −5 | +5% |
| 2015 | −0.5°C | −11 | +3% |
| 2016 | +0.1°C | −1 | +3% |
| 2017 | −0.5°C | +10 | +1% |
| 2018 | −0.9°C | +20 | +7% |
| 2019 | −1.1°C | +12 | +3% |
| 2020 | ±0.0°C | +21 | +1% |
| 2021 | +1.2°C | −17 | −4% |
| 2022 | −0.1°C | +6 | +1% |
| 2023 | +1.4°C | −4 | −4% |
| 2024 | +2.0°C | −23 | +1% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Matane, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Matane?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.