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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Rimouski weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Rimouski's high today between 10° and 12°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 22% chance of rain.

11°-1°
15°3°
12°3°
4°1°
5°-1°
10°0°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
2°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
4°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
2°
Mainly clear
Feels -2° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 85%

Latest for Rimouski: Env. Canada (GEM model): 2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 4° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 2° Mainly clear.

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Rimouski weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rimouski swings 32°C across the year, from 18°C highs in July to -14°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 998 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 13 days a year at 25°C or above, 154 frost nights, and rain on 141 days.

Warmest month
July
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
July
998 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
June and August
Residents
42,000
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Warm days
13 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
154 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
141 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rimouski’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Rimouski and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rimouski hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rimouski 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11° -1°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15° 3°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
12° 3°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
4° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
5° -1°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10° 0°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
10° 2°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
6° -1°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
10° -1°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
13° 4°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
13° 7°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 3°
±11°
Thu
Light drizzle
6° 1°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
5° 0°
±6°

Rimouski, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 998 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Rimouski right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Rimouski climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-8°
-14°
Feb
-5°
-13°
Mar
-3°
-9°
Apr
5°
-2°
May
11°
4°
Jun
16°
9°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
18°
13°
Sep
13°
8°
Oct
8°
4°
Nov
1°
-2°
Dec
-4°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Rimouski's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C

Around Rimouski, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.6°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.7°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2016: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.5°C vs the 30-year average2024: +2.3°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

14 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C

1995: +13 vs the 30-year average1996: +13 vs the 30-year average1997: +17 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: +8 vs the 30-year average2000: +8 vs the 30-year average2001: +0 vs the 30-year average2002: +21 vs the 30-year average2003: +11 vs the 30-year average2004: +17 vs the 30-year average2005: −12 vs the 30-year average2006: −1 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: −10 vs the 30-year average2009: −3 vs the 30-year average2010: −23 vs the 30-year average2011: −11 vs the 30-year average2012: −15 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: −10 vs the 30-year average2015: −12 vs the 30-year average2016: −4 vs the 30-year average2017: +0 vs the 30-year average2018: +15 vs the 30-year average2019: +5 vs the 30-year average2020: +17 vs the 30-year average2021: −17 vs the 30-year average2022: −3 vs the 30-year average2023: −6 vs the 30-year average2024: −21 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+4%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: −5% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: −2% vs the 30-year average1999: +0% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: +8% vs the 30-year average2006: −5% vs the 30-year average2007: +8% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: +0% vs the 30-year average2011: +0% vs the 30-year average2012: +0% vs the 30-year average2013: +5% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: +5% vs the 30-year average2016: +0% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: +5% vs the 30-year average2019: +3% vs the 30-year average2020: +0% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°C+13−5%
1996−0.5°C+13−2%
1997−1.3°C+17−2%
1998+0.4°C−1−2%
1999+0.6°C+8+0%
2000−0.6°C+8−2%
2001+0.4°C+0−5%
2002−0.7°C+21−2%
2003−0.9°C+11−2%
2004−1.6°C+17−2%
2005+0.5°C−12+8%
2006+0.7°C−1−5%
2007−0.2°C−1+8%
2008−0.1°C−10−2%
2009−0.2°C−3+0%
2010+1.7°C−23+0%
2011+0.6°C−11+0%
2012+1.1°C−15+0%
2013−0.1°C−4+5%
2014−0.3°C−10+3%
2015−0.6°C−12+5%
2016±0.0°C−4+0%
2017−0.6°C+0−2%
2018−0.9°C+15+5%
2019−1.1°C+5+3%
2020±0.0°C+17+0%
2021+1.3°C−17−2%
2022+0.2°C−3+3%
2023+1.5°C−6−2%
2024+2.3°C−21+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Rimouski, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.7 km/h9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C94±2.8 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±3.1 km/h7888% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°10° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 17°±22%0% to 22% chance
Mon±2°11° to 13°±11%14% to 25% chance
Tue±1°4° to 5°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±2°4° to 6°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rimouski

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
17:27
Daylight
10h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rimouski today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Rimouski's high today between 10° and 12°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 22% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rimouski today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Rimouski on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 0%, European 22%, American 22%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rimouski?
No single model is always right. Env. Canada, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Rimouski forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested CA accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Rimouski?
July is typically the warmest month in Rimouski, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Rimouski get?
The coldest month in Rimouski is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Rimouski get?
Rimouski sees roughly 998 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Rimouski getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Rimouski, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather