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CheckWeather CAOrangeville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Orangeville weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Orangeville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 1% chance of rain.

22°13°
23°11°
23°13°
22°16°
21°13°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Partly cloudy
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Mostly clear
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 2%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Orangeville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 11°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±5°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
23° 13°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±13°
Mon
Drizzle
17° 10°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
18° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
19° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree

Orangeville, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 1002 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Orangeville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Orangeville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-6°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-4°

Which forecast is most accurate in Orangeville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C92±4.2 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C96±1.9 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±4°21° to 25°±5%5% to 10% chance
Wed±4°20° to 24°±51%33% to 84% chance
Thu±3°20° to 22°±35%10% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Orangeville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Orangeville today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Orangeville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Orangeville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Orangeville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Orangeville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Orangeville (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Orangeville?
July is typically the warmest month in Orangeville, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Orangeville get?
The coldest month in Orangeville is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Orangeville get?
Orangeville sees roughly 1002 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather