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CheckWeather CAShelburne
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Shelburne weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Shelburne today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 2% chance of rain.

21°12°
22°10°
22°13°
22°16°
20°13°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 86%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Shelburne: Env. Canada (GEM model): 14° Clear · European (ECMWF): 15° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Shelburne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 13°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
22° 16°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
20° 13°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
20°
±6°
Sat
Showers
22° 13°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±13°
Mon
Partly cloudy
16°
±4°
Tue
Partly cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 10°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree

Shelburne, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 982 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Shelburne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Shelburne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-6°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
14°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-4°

Which forecast is most accurate in Shelburne?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C91±4.7 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C98±1.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°20° to 24°±7%5% to 12% chance
Wed±4°20° to 24°±53%33% to 86% chance
Thu±5°18° to 23°±32%13% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shelburne

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shelburne today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Shelburne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shelburne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Shelburne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shelburne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shelburne (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shelburne?
July is typically the warmest month in Shelburne, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Shelburne get?
The coldest month in Shelburne is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Shelburne get?
Shelburne sees roughly 982 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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