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CheckWeather CA›Shelburne
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Shelburne weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Shelburne's high today between 14° and 16°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 2% chance of rain.

15°1°
17°5°
13°4°
8°0°
11°2°
17°6°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
1°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
4°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Shelburne: Env. Canada (GEM model): 1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 4° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 3° Clear.

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Shelburne weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Shelburne swings 36°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1049 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
August
1049 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
8,126
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Shelburne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Shelburne hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Shelburne 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
15° 1°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
13° 4°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
8° 0°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 2°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
17° 6°
models agree
Fri
Clear
14° 5°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
17° 6°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
16° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
13° 4°
±2°
Tue
Light snow
7° 0°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
4° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
8° 1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 0°
models agree

Shelburne, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1049 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Shelburne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Shelburne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-4°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
2°
-7°
Apr
10°
0°
May
18°
6°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
12°
4°
Nov
5°
-2°
Dec
-1°
-6°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Shelburne has changed since 1995

Shelburne sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Caledon. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Caledon page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Shelburne?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C96±2.0 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C88±6.1 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C96±1.9 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±3°11° to 14°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°7° to 9°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±5°10° to 14°±1%4% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shelburne

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:22
Daylight
10h 35m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shelburne today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Shelburne's high today between 14° and 16°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Shelburne today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Shelburne on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (Env. Canada 0%, European 2%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shelburne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shelburne (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shelburne?
July is typically the warmest month in Shelburne, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Shelburne get?
The coldest month in Shelburne is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Shelburne get?
Shelburne sees roughly 1049 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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