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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACaledon
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Caledon weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Caledon today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 2% chance of rain.

22°13°
23°12°
22°13°
22°16°
21°14°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 14°·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Mostly clear
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Caledon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
22° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±2°
Fri
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±5°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
23° 13°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±13°
Mon
Mostly clear
17° 10°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
18° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree

Caledon, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 1002 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Caledon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Caledon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-6°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-4°

Which forecast is most accurate in Caledon?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±1.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±3.8 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±15%0% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°21° to 23°±4%5% to 9% chance
Wed±5°20° to 25°±38%33% to 71% chance
Thu±2°20° to 23°±36%9% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caledon

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caledon today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Caledon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Caledon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Caledon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caledon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caledon (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caledon?
July is typically the warmest month in Caledon, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Caledon get?
The coldest month in Caledon is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Caledon get?
Caledon sees roughly 1002 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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