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CheckWeather CANorth Cowichan
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

North Cowichan weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in North Cowichan today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 2% chance of rain.

21°11°
23°10°
20°11°
21°11°
23°10°
21°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 49%
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Clear
Feels 23° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 44%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 46%

Latest for North Cowichan: Env. Canada (GEM model): 21° Clear · European (ECMWF): 23° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 23° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around North Cowichan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 10°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 10°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 11°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
24° 12°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
25° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 11°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
19°
±5°

North Cowichan, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 0°C), with roughly 1424 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for North Cowichan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

North Cowichan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
18°
Jun
20°
Jul
25°
12°
Aug
24°
13°
Sep
20°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in North Cowichan?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
61±2.2°C93±3.4 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±62%7% to 69% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±5°18° to 23°±36%20% to 56% chance
Tue±1°20° to 21°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°23° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North Cowichan

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in North Cowichan today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for North Cowichan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in North Cowichan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for North Cowichan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for North Cowichan?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for North Cowichan (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in North Cowichan?
July is typically the warmest month in North Cowichan, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does North Cowichan get?
The coldest month in North Cowichan is January, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does North Cowichan get?
North Cowichan sees roughly 1424 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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