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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CALively
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Lively weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Lively today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 26°, with a 12% chance of rain.

24°12°
26°12°
20°14°
23°16°
20°11°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Lively and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
26° 12°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 14°
±5°
Wed
Showers
23° 16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
15°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
20°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
16°
±3°

Lively, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -13°C), with roughly 932 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Lively right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Lively climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-12°
Feb
-1°
-13°
Mar
-7°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
14°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
-2°
Dec
-1°
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lively?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C98±1.0 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
92
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/t9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C92±4.1 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 27°±12%0% to 12% chance
Tue±5°18° to 23°±39%24% to 63% chance
Wed±1°22° to 23°±18%57% to 75% chance
Thu±6°17° to 23°±10%4% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lively

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:54
Daylight
13h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lively today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Lively today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lively today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Lively and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lively?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lively (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lively?
July is typically the warmest month in Lively, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Lively get?
The coldest month in Lively is February, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Lively get?
Lively sees roughly 932 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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