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Tobermory weather

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Tobermory weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tobermory swings 27°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -5°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 952 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
-5°C average low
Wettest month
April
952 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
1,427
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Tobermory and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tobermory hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tobermory 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Tobermory, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -5°C), with roughly 952 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Tobermory right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Tobermory climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-5°
Mar
-2°
Apr
May
14°
Jun
19°
13°
Jul
22°
17°
Aug
21°
16°
Sep
20°
15°
Oct
13°
10°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.0 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C94±3.0 km/t5575% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Tobermory today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Tobermory today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tobermory today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Tobermory and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tobermory?
No single model is always right. Env. Canada, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Tobermory forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested CA accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Tobermory?
July is typically the warmest month in Tobermory, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Tobermory get?
The coldest month in Tobermory is February, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Tobermory get?
Tobermory sees roughly 952 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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