Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in North Bay today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 78% chance of rain.
North Bay swings 37°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -15°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 942 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 38 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 156 frost nights, and rain on 151 days.
Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
-15°C average low
Wettest month
September
942 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
50,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
38 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
156 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
151 days
a year with 1 mm or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for North Bay’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around North Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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North Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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North Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14°1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15°6°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
12°2°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
6°-1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11°1°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
15°7°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
11°5°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
13°5°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
15°8°
±4°
Mon
Rain
14°6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
7°1°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
5°0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
7°1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
5°0°
models agree
North Bay, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -15°C), with roughly 942 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for North Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-7°
-13°
Feb
-6°
-15°
Mar
0°
-9°
Apr
8°
-2°
May
16°
5°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
22°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
9°
Oct
10°
4°
Nov
4°
-2°
Dec
-3°
-9°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How North Bay's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.4°C
Around North Bay, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
27 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Frost nights
8 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.1°C
−8
−2
−2%
1996
−1.6°C
−19
+23
−2%
1997
−1.7°C
−21
+16
−2%
1998
+1.3°C
−3
−15
−2%
1999
+0.7°C
−1
−0
+2%
2000
−1.1°C
−25
+2
−2%
2001
+0.3°C
−8
−4
−2%
2002
−0.6°C
−8
+25
−2%
2003
−1.4°C
−11
+7
−2%
2004
−1.4°C
−24
−1
+2%
2005
+0.3°C
+9
−3
−2%
2006
+0.5°C
−7
−4
−2%
2007
−0.2°C
−8
−6
+2%
2008
−0.5°C
−22
−4
+2%
2009
−0.7°C
−16
+9
−2%
2010
+1.0°C
+13
−8
+2%
2011
+0.5°C
+5
−10
−2%
2012
+1.3°C
+16
−7
+2%
2013
−0.2°C
+4
+2
+2%
2014
−1.6°C
−16
+8
−2%
2015
−0.1°C
+4
−9
+2%
2016
+0.9°C
+24
−0
+2%
2017
+0.4°C
−7
−0
+2%
2018
±0.0°C
+29
+16
+2%
2019
−0.9°C
+2
+6
+2%
2020
+0.6°C
+18
+11
−2%
2021
+1.5°C
+13
−20
−2%
2022
+0.3°C
+15
−3
+2%
2023
+1.6°C
+13
−6
−5%
2024
+2.6°C
+31
−21
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around North Bay, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in North Bay?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C
95±2.5 km/h
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C
95±2.7 km/h
7184% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American
80
/100rank #3
85±0.9°C
94±3.1 km/h
6581% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°13° to 15°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow
±2°14° to 16°
±64%14% to 78% chance
Mon
±1°11° to 12°
±63%11% to 74% chance
Tue
±2°5° to 7°
±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed
±4°9° to 13°
±20%5% to 25% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in North Bay
today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
10h 28m
Common questions
What's the weather in North Bay today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in North Bay today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 78% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in North Bay today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in North Bay on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 14%, European 78%, American 52%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for North Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for North Bay (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in North Bay?
July is typically the warmest month in North Bay, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does North Bay get?
The coldest month in North Bay is February, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does North Bay get?
North Bay sees roughly 942 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
Is North Bay getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around North Bay, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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