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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Temiskaming Shores weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Temiskaming Shores today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 68% chance of rain.

15°1°
15°7°
10°-2°
4°-5°
10°-1°
14°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
1°
Clear
Feels -3° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
1°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 74%

Latest for Temiskaming Shores: Env. Canada (GEM model): 1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 1° Clear.

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Temiskaming Shores weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Temiskaming Shores swings 40°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -17°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 827 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-17°C average low
Wettest month
July
827 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Temiskaming Shores and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Temiskaming Shores hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Temiskaming Shores 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
15° 1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15° 7°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
10° -2°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
4° -5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10° -1°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
14° 7°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
11° 5°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
14° 8°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
13° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 0°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
4° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
5° -1°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
5° -1°
models agree

Temiskaming Shores, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -17°C), with roughly 827 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Temiskaming Shores right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Temiskaming Shores climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-17°
Feb
-7°
-16°
Mar
-2°
-10°
Apr
7°
-3°
May
16°
3°
Jun
21°
10°
Jul
23°
14°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
18°
9°
Oct
11°
4°
Nov
3°
-3°
Dec
-6°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Temiskaming Shores' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.5°C

Around Temiskaming Shores, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.9°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.8°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2000: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2003: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.7°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2006: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2014: −1.8°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.9°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +2.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

10 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: −1 vs the 30-year average1996: −6 vs the 30-year average1997: −6 vs the 30-year average1998: −5 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: −6 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: −3 vs the 30-year average2003: −6 vs the 30-year average2004: −6 vs the 30-year average2005: +7 vs the 30-year average2006: +2 vs the 30-year average2007: +4 vs the 30-year average2008: −6 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: +11 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: +1 vs the 30-year average2013: +2 vs the 30-year average2014: −5 vs the 30-year average2015: +2 vs the 30-year average2016: +2 vs the 30-year average2017: −4 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: −0 vs the 30-year average2020: +14 vs the 30-year average2021: +4 vs the 30-year average2022: +2 vs the 30-year average2023: +6 vs the 30-year average2024: +11 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

7 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3 vs the 30-year average1996: +17 vs the 30-year average1997: +11 vs the 30-year average1998: −7 vs the 30-year average1999: +4 vs the 30-year average2000: +6 vs the 30-year average2001: −9 vs the 30-year average2002: +21 vs the 30-year average2003: +8 vs the 30-year average2004: −2 vs the 30-year average2005: +1 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −8 vs the 30-year average2008: −0 vs the 30-year average2009: +3 vs the 30-year average2010: −7 vs the 30-year average2011: +1 vs the 30-year average2012: −11 vs the 30-year average2013: +4 vs the 30-year average2014: +6 vs the 30-year average2015: −5 vs the 30-year average2016: −2 vs the 30-year average2017: −1 vs the 30-year average2018: +20 vs the 30-year average2019: +3 vs the 30-year average2020: +16 vs the 30-year average2021: −20 vs the 30-year average2022: −5 vs the 30-year average2023: −9 vs the 30-year average2024: −19 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −5% vs the 30-year average1998: −5% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +5% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: +2% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: +2% vs the 30-year average2016: +5% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: +2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.3°C−1+3−2%
1996−1.9°C−6+17−2%
1997−1.8°C−6+11−5%
1998+0.9°C−5−7−5%
1999+0.4°C−6+4+2%
2000−1.3°C−6+6−2%
2001+0.3°C−3−9+2%
2002−0.8°C−3+21−2%
2003−1.3°C−6+8−2%
2004−1.7°C−6−2+2%
2005+0.5°C+7+1−2%
2006+1.1°C+2−5−2%
2007+0.3°C+4−8+5%
2008−0.6°C−6−0+2%
2009−0.7°C−4+3−2%
2010+1.4°C+11−7+2%
2011+0.2°C−0+1−2%
2012+1.2°C+1−11+2%
2013−0.5°C+2+4+2%
2014−1.8°C−5+6+2%
2015−0.1°C+2−5+2%
2016+0.9°C+2−2+5%
2017+0.1°C−4−1+2%
2018−0.1°C+8+20+2%
2019−1.2°C−0+3+2%
2020+0.6°C+14+16+2%
2021+1.9°C+4−20−2%
2022+0.3°C+2−5+2%
2023+1.4°C+6−9−5%
2024+2.6°C+11−19+2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Temiskaming Shores, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Temiskaming Shores?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±2.7 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C90±5.1 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°14° to 16°±58%10% to 68% chance
Mon±5°8° to 12°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±2°3° to 5°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°7° to 12°±28%5% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Temiskaming Shores

today, local time
Sunrise
07:50
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
10h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Temiskaming Shores today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Temiskaming Shores today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 68% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Temiskaming Shores today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Temiskaming Shores on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 10%, European 68%, American 20%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Temiskaming Shores?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Temiskaming Shores (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Temiskaming Shores?
July is typically the warmest month in Temiskaming Shores, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Temiskaming Shores get?
The coldest month in Temiskaming Shores is January, when overnight lows average about -17°C.
How much rain does Temiskaming Shores get?
Temiskaming Shores sees roughly 827 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Temiskaming Shores getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Temiskaming Shores, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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