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CheckWeather CASturgeon Falls
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sturgeon Falls weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Sturgeon Falls today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 25°, with a 25% chance of rain.

22°13°
25°14°
20°15°
22°17°
21°13°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Clear
Feels 18° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 71%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Clear
Feels 17° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 68%

Latest for Sturgeon Falls: Env. Canada (GEM model): 18° Clear · European (ECMWF): 20° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sturgeon Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
25° 14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
21° 13°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
20°
±5°
Sat
Showers
23° 16°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
19° 12°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
18° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree

Sturgeon Falls, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1026 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sturgeon Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sturgeon Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-6°
Apr
10°
May
18°
Jun
23°
14°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sturgeon Falls?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C94±3.1 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
88
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C95±2.3 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 26°±25%0% to 25% chance
Tue±2°19° to 20°±9%33% to 42% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±4%67% to 71% chance
Thu±7°18° to 25°±19%5% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sturgeon Falls

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
13h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sturgeon Falls today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Sturgeon Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sturgeon Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Sturgeon Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sturgeon Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Sturgeon Falls (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sturgeon Falls?
July is typically the warmest month in Sturgeon Falls, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Sturgeon Falls get?
The coldest month in Sturgeon Falls is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Sturgeon Falls get?
Sturgeon Falls sees roughly 1026 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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