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CheckWeather CA›Sturgeon Falls
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Sturgeon Falls weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Sturgeon Falls today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 71% chance of rain.

14°3°
16°6°
11°2°
6°-1°
11°3°
15°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
6°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Sturgeon Falls: Env. Canada (GEM model): 3° Clear · European (ECMWF): 6° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 3° Clear.

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Sturgeon Falls weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sturgeon Falls swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1006 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-15°C average low
Wettest month
September
1006 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
6,939
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sturgeon Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sturgeon Falls hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sturgeon Falls 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16° 6°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 2°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
6° -1°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
11° 3°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
15° 8°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
13° 6°
±4°
Sun
Light rain
14° 9°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
13° 6°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
7° 1°
±2°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
5° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
7° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
6° 1°
models agree

Sturgeon Falls, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1006 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sturgeon Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sturgeon Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-7°
-13°
Feb
-5°
-15°
Mar
0°
-9°
Apr
8°
-2°
May
16°
5°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
9°
Oct
11°
5°
Nov
4°
-2°
Dec
-3°
-9°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Sturgeon Falls has changed since 1995

Sturgeon Falls sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as West Nipissing. That square ran 1.2°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the West Nipissing page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sturgeon Falls?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C98±1.2 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±3.2 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C95±2.3 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree14° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 16°±61%10% to 71% chance
Mon±1°11° to 12°±68%8% to 76% chance
Tue±2°5° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°10° to 13°±23%0% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sturgeon Falls

today, local time
Sunrise
07:49
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sturgeon Falls today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Sturgeon Falls today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 71% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sturgeon Falls today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Sturgeon Falls on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 10%, European 71%, American 49%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sturgeon Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sturgeon Falls (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sturgeon Falls?
July is typically the warmest month in Sturgeon Falls, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Sturgeon Falls get?
The coldest month in Sturgeon Falls is February, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Sturgeon Falls get?
Sturgeon Falls sees roughly 1006 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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