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CheckWeather CAElliot Lake
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Elliot Lake weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Elliot Lake's high today between 24° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 25°, with a 6% chance of rain.

25°12°
25°13°
19°15°
24°16°
19°11°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
26°
Clear
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Mostly clear
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Elliot Lake and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
25° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
25° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 15°
±5°
Wed
Light rain
24° 16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
23° 15°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
17°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
15° 10°
models agree

Elliot Lake is a small town of about 13,000 people in Ontario, sitting at 46.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Elliot Lake with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Rayside-Balfour, Lively, Greater Sudbury.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Elliot Lake?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±1.2 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.1 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±3.4 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°24° to 26°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°25° to 26°±2%4% to 6% chance
Tue±5°17° to 22°±33%33% to 66% chance
Wed±2°23° to 24°±3%75% to 78% chance
Thu±3°18° to 21°±20%4% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elliot Lake

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
13h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elliot Lake today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Elliot Lake today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elliot Lake today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Elliot Lake and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elliot Lake?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elliot Lake (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather