Rain,rain likely tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Gander today. Tomorrow looks showers around 18°, with a 99% chance of rain.
Gander is a small town of about 12,000 people in Newfoundland and Labrador, sitting at 49.0°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Gander with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Grand Falls-Windsor, Clarenville, Bay Roberts.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.