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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CATorbay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Torbay weather

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Heavy rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Torbay today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 20°, with a 77% chance of rain.

16°14°
20°15°
16°11°
12°
16°
21°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Heavy rain
Today 16°·Low 14°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 14°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Heavy showers
Today 16°·Low 13°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Torbay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy rain
16° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
20° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16° 11°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
16° 10°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
19° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
19° 12°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
15°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
12°
models agree

Torbay, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1521 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Torbay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Torbay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-1°
-6°
Mar
-3°
Apr
May
Jun
14°
Jul
22°
15°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
17°
12°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Torbay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
69±1.7°C93±3.4 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
71
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C94±2.8 km/t4771% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°19° to 22°±6%71% to 77% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±13%18% to 31% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±14%25% to 39% chance
Thu±2°15° to 17°±34%39% to 73% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Torbay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
13h 6m

Common questions

What's the weather in Torbay today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Torbay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Torbay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Torbay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Torbay?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Torbay (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Torbay?
July is typically the warmest month in Torbay, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Torbay get?
The coldest month in Torbay is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Torbay get?
Torbay sees roughly 1521 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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