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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Torbay weather

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Light rain,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Torbay today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 8°, with a 10% chance of rain.

5°4°
8°2°
13°5°
8°2°
4°1°
7°1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Overcast
Feels -2° · Wind 41 km/h · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Drizzle
Feels -2° · Wind 33 km/h · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Light drizzle
Feels -2° · Wind 33 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Torbay: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 5° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Light drizzle.

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Torbay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Torbay swings 26°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1727 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
December
1727 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
7,852
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Torbay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Torbay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Torbay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
5° 4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
13° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
4° 1°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 4°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
8° 3°
±3°
Sun
Light snow
6° 1°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
9° 1°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
13° 7°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
15° 7°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 5°
±4°

Torbay, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1727 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Torbay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Torbay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
0°
-5°
Feb
-1°
-6°
Mar
1°
-4°
Apr
4°
0°
May
9°
3°
Jun
13°
7°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
16°
11°
Oct
11°
7°
Nov
6°
2°
Dec
3°
-2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Torbay has changed since 1995

Torbay sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as St. John's. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the St. John's page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Torbay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C92±4.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±2.0 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C91±4.4 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°5° to 6°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree8° to 9°±8%2% to 10% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±9%3% to 12% chance
Tuemodels agree8° to 8°±36%25% to 61% chance
Wed±2°3° to 4°±23%1% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Torbay

today, local time
Sunrise
07:33
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Torbay today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Torbay today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 8°, with a 10% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Torbay today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Torbay on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 10% (Env. Canada 10%, European 4%, American 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Torbay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Torbay (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Torbay?
July is typically the warmest month in Torbay, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Torbay get?
The coldest month in Torbay is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Torbay get?
Torbay sees roughly 1727 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather