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CheckWeather CA›Mount Cashel
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Mount Cashel weather

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Light rain,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Mount Cashel today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 8°, with a 10% chance of rain.

5°4°
8°2°
13°5°
8°2°
4°1°
7°1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Overcast
Feels -2° · Wind 36 km/h · Humidity 76%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Light drizzle
Feels -2° · Wind 34 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Overcast
Feels -2° · Wind 33 km/h · Humidity 78%

Latest for Mount Cashel: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 5° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Overcast.

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Mount Cashel weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mount Cashel swings 25°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1638 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
December
1638 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, April and December
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
6,047
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Mount Cashel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mount Cashel hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mount Cashel 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
5° 4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
13° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
4° 1°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Sat
Light snow
8° 3°
±3°
Sun
Snow
6° 0°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
9° 1°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
13° 7°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
15° 8°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 5°
±4°

Mount Cashel, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1638 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Mount Cashel right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Mount Cashel climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
0°
-5°
Feb
-1°
-6°
Mar
1°
-4°
Apr
4°
-1°
May
9°
2°
Jun
13°
7°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
16°
11°
Oct
11°
6°
Nov
5°
1°
Dec
3°
-2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mount Cashel has changed since 1995

Mount Cashel sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as St. John's. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the St. John's page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mount Cashel?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C96±2.1 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C94±2.8 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°5° to 6°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree8° to 9°±8%2% to 10% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±9%3% to 12% chance
Tuemodels agree8° to 8°±36%25% to 61% chance
Wed±2°3° to 5°±23%1% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mount Cashel

today, local time
Sunrise
07:32
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mount Cashel today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Mount Cashel today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 8°, with a 10% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mount Cashel today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Mount Cashel on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 10% (Env. Canada 10%, European 4%, American 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mount Cashel?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mount Cashel (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mount Cashel?
July is typically the warmest month in Mount Cashel, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Mount Cashel get?
The coldest month in Mount Cashel is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Mount Cashel get?
Mount Cashel sees roughly 1638 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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