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CheckWeather CAConception Bay South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Conception Bay South weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Conception Bay South today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 20°, with a 92% chance of rain.

17°14°
20°15°
16°12°
12°
16°
20°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 15° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 97%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Feels 12° · Wind 25 km/h · Humidity 97%

Latest for Conception Bay South: Env. Canada (GEM model): 16° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 15° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Conception Bay South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
17° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
20° 15°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
16° 10°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 12°
±5°
Wed
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree
Thu
Rain
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
12°
models agree

Conception Bay South, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1481 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Conception Bay South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Conception Bay South climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-3°
Apr
May
Jun
14°
Jul
19°
14°
Aug
19°
15°
Sep
17°
13°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Conception Bay South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
51±2.7°C95±2.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
65
/100rank #3
47±2.9°C94±2.8 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±18%74% to 92% chance
Tue±1°15° to 17°±15%18% to 33% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±22%35% to 57% chance
Thu±1°16° to 16°±33%49% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Conception Bay South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
13h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Conception Bay South today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Conception Bay South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Conception Bay South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Conception Bay South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Conception Bay South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Conception Bay South (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Conception Bay South?
July is typically the warmest month in Conception Bay South, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Conception Bay South get?
The coldest month in Conception Bay South is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Conception Bay South get?
Conception Bay South sees roughly 1481 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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