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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Paradise weather

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Drizzle,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Paradise today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 8°, with a 7% chance of rain.

5°3°
8°2°
13°5°
8°2°
3°0°
7°0°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
4°
Overcast
Feels -1° · Wind 24 km/h · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Light drizzle
Feels -2° · Wind 33 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Light drizzle
Feels -2° · Wind 30 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Paradise: Env. Canada (GEM model): 4° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 5° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 4° Light drizzle.

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Paradise weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Paradise swings 27°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1578 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 10 days a year at 25°C or above, 143 frost nights, and rain on 167 days.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
December
1578 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
23,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
Env. Canada
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
10 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
143 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
167 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Paradise’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Paradise and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Paradise hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Paradise 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
5° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 5°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
3° 0°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 0°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Sat
Light snow
7° 3°
±3°
Sun
Snow
5° -1°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
8° 1°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
11° 6°
±2°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
14° 9°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
13° 6°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 4°
±3°

Paradise, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 1578 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Paradise right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Paradise climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-1°
-6°
Feb
-1°
-7°
Mar
1°
-5°
Apr
5°
-1°
May
10°
2°
Jun
15°
7°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
11°
6°
Nov
6°
2°
Dec
1°
-4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Paradise has changed since 1995

Paradise sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Conception Bay South. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Conception Bay South page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Paradise?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C91±4.4 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
90
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C93±3.4 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C97±1.7 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°4° to 5°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°8° to 8°±6%1% to 7% chance
Mon±3°11° to 14°±5%1% to 6% chance
Tuemodels agree8° to 8°±37%24% to 61% chance
Wed±2°2° to 4°±18%0% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paradise

today, local time
Sunrise
07:33
Sunset
17:57
Daylight
10h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paradise today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Paradise today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 8°, with a 7% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Paradise today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Paradise on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 7% (Env. Canada 7%, European 2%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paradise?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Paradise (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paradise?
July is typically the warmest month in Paradise, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Paradise get?
The coldest month in Paradise is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Paradise get?
Paradise sees roughly 1578 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather