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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bay Roberts weather

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Drizzle,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 6° in Bay Roberts today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 10°, with a 2% chance of rain.

6°3°
10°1°
13°6°
9°3°
4°1°
8°1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
6°
Overcast
Feels -2° · Wind 46 km/h · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Light drizzle
Feels -2° · Wind 39 km/h · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Overcast
Feels -2° · Wind 35 km/h · Humidity 76%

Latest for Bay Roberts: Env. Canada (GEM model): 6° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 5° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Overcast.

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Bay Roberts weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bay Roberts swings 27°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1460 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
October
1460 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
6,012
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Bay Roberts and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bay Roberts hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bay Roberts 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
6° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
10° 1°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
13° 6°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
4° 1°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 4°
models agree
Sat
Light snow
8° 4°
±2°
Sun
Light snow
6° 0°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 2°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
13° 8°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
15° 9°
±2°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
15° 7°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 5°
±4°

Bay Roberts, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1460 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Bay Roberts right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Bay Roberts climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
0°
-5°
Feb
0°
-6°
Mar
2°
-4°
Apr
6°
0°
May
11°
3°
Jun
16°
8°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
14°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
12°
6°
Nov
7°
3°
Dec
2°
-3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bay Roberts has changed since 1995

Bay Roberts sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Conception Bay South. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Conception Bay South page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bay Roberts?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±2.1 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
94
/100rank #2
97±0.2°C98±1.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
92
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±2.1 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°5° to 7°±43%57% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±2%0% to 2% chance
Monmodels agree13° to 13°±7%8% to 15% chance
Tuemodels agree9° to 9°±46%19% to 65% chance
Wed±2°3° to 5°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bay Roberts

today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
17:58
Daylight
10h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bay Roberts today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 6° in Bay Roberts today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 10°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bay Roberts today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Bay Roberts on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (Env. Canada 2%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bay Roberts?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Bay Roberts (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the European at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bay Roberts?
July is typically the warmest month in Bay Roberts, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Bay Roberts get?
The coldest month in Bay Roberts is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Bay Roberts get?
Bay Roberts sees roughly 1460 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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