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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Elora weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Elora today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 17°, with a 4% chance of rain.

15°2°
17°3°
14°5°
9°1°
12°3°
19°6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
2°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 95%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Elora: Env. Canada (GEM model): 2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 4° Clear.

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Elora weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Elora swings 35°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 977 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
July
977 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
7,800
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Elora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elora hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elora 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
15° 2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
17° 3°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
12° 3°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19° 6°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14° 4°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
17° 6°
±7°
Sun
Showers
17° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
14° 4°
±2°
Tue
Light snow
8° 1°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
6° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
9° 1°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
9° 0°
models agree

Elora, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 977 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Elora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Elora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-9°
Feb
-2°
-11°
Mar
3°
-6°
Apr
11°
0°
May
18°
7°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
13°
4°
Nov
6°
-1°
Dec
0°
-5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Elora has changed since 1995

Elora sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Kitchener. That square ran 0.9°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Kitchener page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Elora?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C91±4.7 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±1.8 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°9° to 10°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±6°10° to 16°±3%2% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elora

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:23
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elora today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Elora today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 17°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Elora today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Elora on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 4% (Env. Canada 0%, European 4%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elora?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elora (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elora?
July is typically the warmest month in Elora, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Elora get?
The coldest month in Elora is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Elora get?
Elora sees roughly 977 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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