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CheckWeather CA›Lexington
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Lexington weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Lexington's high today between 15° and 17°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 18°, with a 2% chance of rain.

16°1°
18°3°
15°5°
10°1°
13°3°
19°6°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
1°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
1°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 93%

Latest for Lexington: Env. Canada (GEM model): 1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 1° Clear.

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Lexington weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lexington swings 35°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 882 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
July
882 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
7,330
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Lexington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lexington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lexington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
16° 1°
±3°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
18° 3°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
10° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13° 3°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 6°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15° 5°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
17° 6°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
17° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 5°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 2°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
9° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 1°
models agree

Lexington, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 882 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Lexington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Lexington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-8°
Feb
-1°
-10°
Mar
4°
-6°
Apr
11°
0°
May
19°
7°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
21°
10°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
7°
-1°
Dec
0°
-5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lexington has changed since 1995

Lexington sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Kitchener. That square ran 0.9°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Kitchener page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lexington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C98±1.1 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C95±2.5 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±2.0 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°9° to 10°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±6°11° to 16°±3%2% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lexington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:24
Daylight
10h 37m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lexington today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Lexington's high today between 15° and 17°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 18°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Lexington today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Lexington on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (Env. Canada 0%, European 2%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lexington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lexington (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lexington?
July is typically the warmest month in Lexington, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Lexington get?
The coldest month in Lexington is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Lexington get?
Lexington sees roughly 882 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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