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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAWaterloo
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Waterloo weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Waterloo's high today between 23° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 1% chance of rain.

24°14°
23°12°
23°12°
23°17°
22°14°
21°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Mostly clear
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Waterloo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 17°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±5°
Sat
Showers
24° 13°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±12°
Mon
Mostly clear
18° 10°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 10°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
models agree

Waterloo, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 987 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Waterloo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Waterloo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Waterloo?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
71
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C96±2.2 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 25°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 23°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±2°23° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±5°21° to 26°±45%34% to 79% chance
Thu±2°21° to 23°±10%10% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waterloo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waterloo today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Waterloo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waterloo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Waterloo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waterloo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waterloo (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waterloo?
July is typically the warmest month in Waterloo, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Waterloo get?
The coldest month in Waterloo is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Waterloo get?
Waterloo sees roughly 987 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather