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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAKitchener
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kitchener weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Kitchener today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 1% chance of rain.

23°14°
23°11°
23°12°
23°17°
22°14°
21°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kitchener and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 17°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±5°
Sat
Showers
24° 13°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±12°
Mon
Mostly clear
18° 10°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 10°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
models agree

Kitchener, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kitchener right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Kitchener's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kitchener weather by month

what to expect in Kitchener through the year

Here is Kitchener's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Kitchener by season.

Jan
-5°
Cold
Feb
-6°
Cold
Mar
-4°
Cold
Apr
13°
Cool
May
20°
Mild
Jun
24°
14°
Warm
Jul
26°
16°
Warm
Wettest
Aug
24°
15°
Warm
Sep
23°
13°
Warm
Oct
15°
Mild
Nov
Cool
Dec
-3°
Cold

What Kitchener's weather is like through the year

Kitchener runs from warm summers, with July highs near 26°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -6°C (a swing of about 32°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Kitchener sees roughly 972 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Kitchener sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Kitchener

The most comfortable time to visit Kitchener is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kitchener?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C96±2.0 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Kitchener, scoring 83/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree23° to 23°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±5°21° to 25°±45%34% to 79% chance
Thu±2°21° to 23°±10%10% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kitchener

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kitchener today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Kitchener today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kitchener today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Kitchener and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kitchener?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kitchener (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kitchener?
July is typically the warmest month in Kitchener, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Kitchener get?
The coldest month in Kitchener is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Kitchener get?
Kitchener sees roughly 972 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Kitchener?
The most comfortable time to visit Kitchener is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Kitchener?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in Kitchener, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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