Brandon swings 43°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -19°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 488 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 49 days a year at 25°C or above, 7 of them at 30°C or above, 185 frost nights, and rain on 86 days.
Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-19°C average low
Wettest month
June
488 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
49,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
49 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
185 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
86 days
a year with 1 mm or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Brandon’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Brandon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Brandon hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Brandon 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
15°4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
5°-3°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
5°-5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
4°-4°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
7°2°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
7°2°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
9°1°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
10°4°
±6°
Sun
Clear
8°-1°
±3°
Mon
Light snow
6°0°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
6°-2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11°0°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
11°0°
±8°
Brandon, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -19°C), with roughly 488 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Brandon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-11°
-19°
Feb
-8°
-18°
Mar
-1°
-12°
Apr
9°
-3°
May
17°
5°
Jun
22°
11°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
13°
Sep
19°
7°
Oct
10°
0°
Nov
0°
-7°
Dec
-7°
-16°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Brandon's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.9°C
Around Brandon, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.9°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
4 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
5 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.2°C
+8
+12
−4%
1996
−2.9°C
−1
+19
−4%
1997
−0.1°C
+1
+14
+3%
1998
+1.0°C
−9
−21
−8%
1999
+0.8°C
−7
−5
+3%
2000
−0.9°C
−7
−6
−2%
2001
+0.8°C
+0
−7
−4%
2002
−0.2°C
+3
+33
+3%
2003
+0.2°C
+17
−11
−2%
2004
−1.0°C
−11
+15
+0%
2005
±0.0°C
−7
−14
+3%
2006
+1.3°C
+7
−5
+0%
2007
+0.1°C
+2
−19
+3%
2008
−1.1°C
−5
+2
+3%
2009
−1.0°C
−11
+9
−4%
2010
+0.4°C
−7
−22
−4%
2011
±0.0°C
−10
−2
+0%
2012
+1.4°C
+8
−9
+3%
2013
−1.5°C
−1
+13
−4%
2014
−1.9°C
−10
+6
+3%
2015
+1.1°C
+7
−18
+0%
2016
+1.5°C
−4
−9
+0%
2017
+0.6°C
+1
−8
+5%
2018
−0.4°C
+11
+19
+0%
2019
−1.3°C
−3
+14
−2%
2020
+0.5°C
+1
+9
+5%
2021
+1.9°C
+20
−2
+3%
2022
−1.3°C
−3
+8
+7%
2023
+1.3°C
+4
−6
−6%
2024
+1.4°C
−1
−18
+0%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Brandon, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Brandon?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C
98±0.9 km/h
8290% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
92
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C
96±1.9 km/h
9597% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
90
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C
97±1.7 km/h
8994% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°14° to 16°
±38%1% to 39% chance
Tomorrow
±2°4° to 6°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon
±2°4° to 6°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue
±5°2° to 7°
±36%21% to 57% chance
Wed
±4°6° to 10°
±25%29% to 54% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Brandon
today, local time
Sunrise
08:16
Sunset
18:30
Daylight
10h 14m
Common questions
What's the weather in Brandon today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Brandon today. Tomorrow: clear, around 5°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Brandon today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Brandon on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 39%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brandon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brandon (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brandon?
July is typically the warmest month in Brandon, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Brandon get?
The coldest month in Brandon is January, when overnight lows average about -19°C.
How much rain does Brandon get?
Brandon sees roughly 488 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Brandon getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Brandon, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.9°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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