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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAWinkler
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Winkler weather

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Rain,thunder likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 25° in Winkler today. Tomorrow looks heavy showers around 26°, with a 73% chance of rain.

25°16°
26°16°
23°17°
23°17°
22°14°
26°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Rain
Today 25°·Low 16°·Rain 31%
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Rain
Today 25°·Low 16°·Rain 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 16°·Rain 70%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Winkler and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
25° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy showers
26° 16°
±3°
Mon
Showers
23° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 14°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
26° 13°
±3°
Fri
Clear
21° 14°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
15° 10°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±7°
Tue
Clear
21° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree

Winkler is a small town of about 13,000 people in Manitoba, sitting at 49.2°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Winkler with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Morden, South Pointe, Richmond West.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Winkler?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C93±3.3 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°24° to 25°±65%31% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±3°24° to 27°±53%20% to 73% chance
Monmodels agree23° to 23°±17%81% to 98% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±58%10% to 68% chance
Wed±6°19° to 25°±14%7% to 21% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Winkler

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
20:06
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Winkler today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Winkler today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Winkler today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Winkler and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Winkler?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Winkler (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather