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Every Canadian forecast, compared
checkweather.io

Morden weather

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Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 32 km/h · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Partly cloudy
Feels 26° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Overcast
Feels 23° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 92%

Latest for Morden: Env. Canada (GEM model): 20° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 22° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Morden and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Morden, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -13°C), with roughly 610 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Morden right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Morden climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
-13°
Feb
-3°
-12°
Mar
-2°
-11°
Apr
-2°
May
19°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
12°
Nov
-5°
Dec
-2°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morden?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±2.2 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
68±1.8°C94±2.8 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C96±1.8 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Morden today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Morden today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morden today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Morden and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morden?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morden (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morden?
July is typically the warmest month in Morden, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Morden get?
The coldest month in Morden is January, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Morden get?
Morden sees roughly 610 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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