Skip to main content
Every Canadian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CAPortage la Prairie
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Portage la Prairie weather

Loading live data…

Heavy showers,thunder likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 25° in Portage la Prairie today. Tomorrow looks heavy showers around 25°, with a 53% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

25°15°
25°16°
22°17°
22°15°
21°13°
25°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Heavy showers
Feels 17° · Wind 39 km/h · Humidity 96%
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Overcast
Feels 27° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Rain
Feels 22° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 97%

Latest for Portage la Prairie: Env. Canada (GEM model): 19° Heavy showers · European (ECMWF): 25° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Rain.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Portage la Prairie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy showers
25° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy showers
25° 16°
±5°
Mon
Showers
22° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
25° 11°
±3°
Fri
Clear
21° 13°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
14°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Mon
Clear
20° 10°
±4°
Tue
Clear
20° 10°
±2°
Wed
Mostly clear
19°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree

Portage la Prairie is a small town of about 13,000 people in Manitoba, sitting at 50.0°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Portage la Prairie with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Booth, Silver Heights, St. James-Assiniboia East.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Portage la Prairie?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C94±3.0 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C93±3.4 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 26°±79%19% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±5°22° to 27°±12%41% to 53% chance
Monmodels agree22° to 22°±12%82% to 94% chance
Tue±2°21° to 23°±56%26% to 82% chance
Wed±5°18° to 23°±20%14% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Portage la Prairie

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
20:08
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Portage la Prairie today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Portage la Prairie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Portage la Prairie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Portage la Prairie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Portage la Prairie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Portage la Prairie (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather