Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Portage la Prairie today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 5°, with a 1% chance of rain.
Portage la Prairie swings 42°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -17°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 532 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-17°C average low
Wettest month
June
532 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Portage la Prairie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Portage la Prairie hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Portage la Prairie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
5°0°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
6°-2°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
5°-3°
±4°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
8°3°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8°2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
10°2°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
10°6°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
7°2°
±3°
Mon
Light snow
6°1°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
6°-1°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
9°1°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
8°1°
±7°
Portage la Prairie, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -17°C), with roughly 532 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Portage la Prairie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-17°
Feb
-8°
-17°
Mar
0°
-9°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
17°
6°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
18°
9°
Oct
10°
2°
Nov
0°
-7°
Dec
-7°
-15°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Portage la Prairie's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°C
Around Portage la Prairie, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.8°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
4 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
4 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.9°C
+6
+7
−3%
1996
−2.6°C
−0
+15
−3%
1997
−0.4°C
−3
+11
+1%
1998
+1.4°C
−3
−21
−9%
1999
+0.9°C
−3
−7
+3%
2000
−1.0°C
−7
−3
−1%
2001
+0.9°C
−4
−7
−3%
2002
−0.1°C
+10
+32
−1%
2003
+0.4°C
+10
−7
−1%
2004
−1.2°C
−12
+13
+3%
2005
+0.1°C
−3
−11
+3%
2006
+1.4°C
+8
−2
−3%
2007
±0.0°C
−1
−15
+3%
2008
−1.5°C
−4
+5
+3%
2009
−1.0°C
−11
+11
−3%
2010
+0.7°C
−7
−29
−3%
2011
+0.4°C
−0
−5
+1%
2012
+1.5°C
+11
−10
+1%
2013
−1.5°C
−3
+14
−3%
2014
−1.9°C
−10
+8
+5%
2015
+1.1°C
+4
−16
+1%
2016
+1.3°C
−6
−14
+1%
2017
+0.5°C
−2
−7
+3%
2018
−0.4°C
+14
+19
−1%
2019
−1.2°C
+2
+8
−1%
2020
+0.5°C
+7
+13
+3%
2021
+2.0°C
+19
−4
+3%
2022
−1.4°C
−9
+10
+7%
2023
+1.4°C
+4
−3
−5%
2024
+1.6°C
−5
−14
+1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Portage la Prairie, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Portage la Prairie?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C
98±1.2 km/h
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
88
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C
95±2.3 km/h
8290% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C
97±1.3 km/h
7687% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±1°16° to 17°
±71%1% to 72% chance
Tomorrow
±2°5° to 7°
±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon
±1°5° to 6°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue
±4°4° to 8°
±30%17% to 47% chance
Wed
±3°6° to 9°
±20%35% to 55% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Portage la Prairie
today, local time
Sunrise
08:09
Sunset
18:23
Daylight
10h 14m
Common questions
What's the weather in Portage la Prairie today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Portage la Prairie today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 5°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Portage la Prairie today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Portage la Prairie on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 72%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Portage la Prairie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Portage la Prairie (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Portage la Prairie?
July is typically the warmest month in Portage la Prairie, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Portage la Prairie get?
The coldest month in Portage la Prairie is January, when overnight lows average about -17°C.
How much rain does Portage la Prairie get?
Portage la Prairie sees roughly 532 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Portage la Prairie getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Portage la Prairie, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.8°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
