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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAWest St. Paul
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

West St. Paul weather

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Light drizzle,thunder likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put West St. Paul's high today between 25° and 27°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks heavy showers around 26°, with a 55% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

26°15°
26°16°
23°18°
22°16°
20°12°
23°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
27°
Light drizzle
Today 27°·Low 15°·Rain 56%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around West St. Paul and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26° 15°
±2°
Tomorrow
Heavy showers
26° 16°
±5°
Mon
Showers
23° 18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Thu
Clear
23° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20°
±5°
Tue
Clear
20° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree

West St. Paul is a small town of about 6,682 people in Manitoba, sitting at 50.0°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast West St. Paul with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Winnipeg, St. James-Assiniboia East, King Edward.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in West St. Paul?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±3.2 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C95±2.4 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°25° to 27°±48%33% to 81% chance
Tomorrow±5°23° to 28°±28%27% to 55% chance
Monmodels agree23° to 23°±9%87% to 96% chance
Tue±2°22° to 23°±37%54% to 91% chance
Wed±3°17° to 21°±22%16% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in West St. Paul

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
20:04
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in West St. Paul today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for West St. Paul today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in West St. Paul today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for West St. Paul and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for West St. Paul?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West St. Paul (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather