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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Weston-super-Mare weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Weston-super-Mare today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 97% chance of rain.

16°10°
13°11°
17°10°
16°12°
15°11°
14°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
13°
Rain
Feels 8° · Wind 21 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Rain
Feels 9° · Wind 21 mph · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Rain
Feels 6° · Wind 32 mph · Humidity 92%

Latest for Weston-super-Mare: Met Office (UKMO model): 13° Rain · European (ECMWF): 14° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Rain.

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Weston-super-Mare weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

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Weston-super-Mare weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Weston-super-Mare swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to 3°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 967 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 12 frost nights, and rain on 165 days.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
February
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
967 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
83,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
9 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
12 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
165 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Weston-super-Mare’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Weston-super-Mare and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Weston-super-Mare hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Weston-super-Mare 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
17° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14° 9°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
14° 9°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
12° 7°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
11° 7°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
9° 5°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 5°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 5°
±4°

Weston-super-Mare, England (often shortened to Weston) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 3°C), with roughly 967 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Weston-super-Mare right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Weston-super-Mare climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
4°
Feb
8°
3°
Mar
9°
5°
Apr
12°
7°
May
16°
9°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
19°
14°
Aug
20°
15°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
14°
10°
Nov
11°
7°
Dec
8°
5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Weston-super-Mare has changed since 1995

Weston-super-Mare sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cardiff. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Cardiff page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Weston-super-Mare?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C95±1.5 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C92±2.5 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C94±1.7 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree16° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 13°±30%67% to 97% chance
Mon±1°17° to 18°±6%94% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±38%62% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 15°±48%19% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Weston-super-Mare

today, local time
Sunrise
07:50
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
10h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Weston-super-Mare today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Weston-super-Mare today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 97% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Weston-super-Mare today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Weston-super-Mare on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 67% (Met Office 67%, European 96%, American 97%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Weston-super-Mare?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Weston-super-Mare (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Weston-super-Mare?
August is typically the warmest month in Weston-super-Mare, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Weston-super-Mare get?
The coldest month in Weston-super-Mare is February, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Weston-super-Mare get?
Weston-super-Mare sees roughly 967 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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