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CheckWeather UKBurnham-on-Sea
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Burnham-on-Sea weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Burnham-on-Sea's high today between 23° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 49% chance of rain.

25°14°
19°16°
18°14°
17°13°
19°13°
20°15°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 13%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Burnham-on-Sea and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
25° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 16°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
19° 13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
20° 15°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19° 11°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 12°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
18° 14°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
18° 11°
±5°

Burnham-on-Sea, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1164 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Burnham-on-Sea right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Burnham-on-Sea climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Burnham-on-Sea?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±1.2 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
82
/100rank #2
67±1.8°C96±1.3 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C95±1.7 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 26°±69%13% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±43%6% to 49% chance
Tue±1°17° to 18°±10%74% to 84% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±27%4% to 31% chance
Thu±1°19° to 20°±16%27% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Burnham-on-Sea

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Burnham-on-Sea today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Burnham-on-Sea today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burnham-on-Sea today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Burnham-on-Sea and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burnham-on-Sea?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Burnham-on-Sea (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the European at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Burnham-on-Sea?
June is typically the warmest month in Burnham-on-Sea, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Burnham-on-Sea get?
The coldest month in Burnham-on-Sea is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Burnham-on-Sea get?
Burnham-on-Sea sees roughly 1164 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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