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Weston-super-Mare weekend weather

This weekend in Weston-super-Mare, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 10° across the weekend. Agreement is medium - plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-11-07 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Fog
High 9°·Low 5°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Cloudy
High 10°·Low 7°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Cloudy
High 11°·Low 7°·Rain 23%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-11-08 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Fog
High 9°·Low 1°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Light drizzle
High 9°·Low 4°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Cloudy
High 11°·Low 5°·Rain 3%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 11°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±29%4% to 33% chance
Fri±1°10° to 12°±19%14% to 33% chance
Sat±1°9° to 11°±21%12% to 33% chance
Sun±2°9° to 11°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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