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CheckWeather UKStoke Gifford
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Stoke Gifford weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 25° in Stoke Gifford today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 48% chance of rain.

25°14°
20°16°
18°12°
18°11°
19°12°
21°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 61%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Stoke Gifford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
25° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 16°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
20° 15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 14°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
19° 11°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
19° 11°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±5°

Stoke Gifford, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1203 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Stoke Gifford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Stoke Gifford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Stoke Gifford?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
92
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C97±1.0 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C96±1.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°25° to 26°±19%61% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±35%13% to 48% chance
Tuemodels agree18° to 18°±15%84% to 99% chance
Wed±2°17° to 20°±3%4% to 7% chance
Thu±2°18° to 20°±3%23% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stoke Gifford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stoke Gifford today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Stoke Gifford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stoke Gifford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Stoke Gifford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stoke Gifford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stoke Gifford (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stoke Gifford?
June is typically the warmest month in Stoke Gifford, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Stoke Gifford get?
The coldest month in Stoke Gifford is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Stoke Gifford get?
Stoke Gifford sees roughly 1203 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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