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CheckWeather UKKeynsham
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Keynsham weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 26° in Keynsham today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 48% chance of rain.

26°13°
20°16°
19°12°
18°11°
19°12°
21°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 61%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Keynsham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
21° 15°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 13°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
20° 10°
±8°
Thu
Drizzle
20° 10°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±7°

Keynsham is a small town of about 20,000 people in England, sitting at 51.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Keynsham with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Kingswood, Mangotsfield, Bristol.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Keynsham?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C96±1.3 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
70±1.7°C90±3.0 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 26°±19%61% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±35%13% to 48% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±15%84% to 99% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±3%4% to 7% chance
Thu±2°18° to 20°±3%23% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Keynsham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Keynsham today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Keynsham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Keynsham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Keynsham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Keynsham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Keynsham (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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