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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kingston upon Hull weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Kingston upon Hull today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°7°
12°9°
16°8°
16°10°
14°9°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Light rain
Today 14°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Heavy drizzle
Today 13°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
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Kingston upon Hull weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Yorkshire & Humber…

Kingston upon Hull weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kingston upon Hull swings 20°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 665 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 22 frost nights, and rain on 145 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
665 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
314,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
9 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
22 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
145 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kingston upon Hull’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Kingston upon Hull and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kingston upon Hull hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kingston upon Hull 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
14° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
11° 6°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 7°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
9° 3°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
8° 1°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 0°
±4°

Kingston upon Hull, England. Often shortened to Hull. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Kingston upon Hull right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Kingston upon Hull's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Kingston upon Hull weather by month

what to expect in Kingston upon Hull through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Kingston upon Hull's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Kingston upon Hull by season.

Jan
8°
2°
Cool
Feb
7°
1°
Cold
Mar
9°
3°
Cool
Apr
12°
5°
Cool
May
15°
7°
Mild
Jun
18°
10°
Mild
Jul
20°
12°
Mild
Aug
21°
13°
Mild
Sep
18°
10°
Mild
Oct
14°
7°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
10°
4°
Cool
Dec
7°
3°
Cold

What Kingston upon Hull's weather is like through the year

Kingston upon Hull runs from warm summers, with August highs near 21°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Kingston upon Hull sees roughly 665 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Kingston upon Hull

The most comfortable time to visit Kingston upon Hull is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How Kingston upon Hull's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Kingston upon Hull, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2022.

1995: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

2 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +12 vs the 30-year average1996: −1 vs the 30-year average1997: +4 vs the 30-year average1998: −7 vs the 30-year average1999: +1 vs the 30-year average2000: −5 vs the 30-year average2001: −1 vs the 30-year average2002: −5 vs the 30-year average2003: +0 vs the 30-year average2004: −3 vs the 30-year average2005: +1 vs the 30-year average2006: +9 vs the 30-year average2007: −6 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: −5 vs the 30-year average2010: −5 vs the 30-year average2011: −1 vs the 30-year average2012: −4 vs the 30-year average2013: +1 vs the 30-year average2014: −6 vs the 30-year average2015: −4 vs the 30-year average2016: +0 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +5 vs the 30-year average2019: +3 vs the 30-year average2020: +0 vs the 30-year average2021: +1 vs the 30-year average2022: +11 vs the 30-year average2023: +2 vs the 30-year average2024: +1 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

13 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +15 vs the 30-year average1996: +33 vs the 30-year average1997: −2 vs the 30-year average1998: −3 vs the 30-year average1999: −5 vs the 30-year average2000: −7 vs the 30-year average2001: +19 vs the 30-year average2002: −18 vs the 30-year average2003: +6 vs the 30-year average2004: −3 vs the 30-year average2005: +1 vs the 30-year average2006: +4 vs the 30-year average2007: −11 vs the 30-year average2008: +6 vs the 30-year average2009: +9 vs the 30-year average2010: +43 vs the 30-year average2011: −9 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: +31 vs the 30-year average2014: −22 vs the 30-year average2015: −5 vs the 30-year average2016: −4 vs the 30-year average2017: −1 vs the 30-year average2018: −5 vs the 30-year average2019: −10 vs the 30-year average2020: −28 vs the 30-year average2021: +1 vs the 30-year average2022: −11 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: −25 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: +7% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +5% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: −7% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +7% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: −11% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +5% vs the 30-year average2016: −5% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: +7% vs the 30-year average2021: −7% vs the 30-year average2022: −3% vs the 30-year average2023: +1% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.2°C+12+15+3%
1996−1.2°C−1+33+1%
1997+0.1°C+4−2−3%
1998−0.1°C−7−3+7%
1999+0.2°C+1−5+5%
2000−0.2°C−5−7+5%
2001−0.5°C−1+19−3%
2002+0.3°C−5−18−1%
2003+0.1°C+0+6−7%
2004+0.2°C−3−3−1%
2005+0.2°C+1+1+1%
2006+0.5°C+9+4−1%
2007+0.2°C−6−11+1%
2008−0.3°C−4+6+7%
2009−0.2°C−5+9−3%
2010−1.3°C−5+43−11%
2011+0.3°C−1−9+1%
2012−0.6°C−4−2−1%
2013−0.8°C+1+31+1%
2014+0.6°C−6−22+1%
2015−0.1°C−4−5+5%
2016−0.1°C+0−4−5%
2017+0.2°C−3−1+1%
2018+0.2°C+5−5−3%
2019+0.2°C+3−10−3%
2020+0.4°C+0−28+7%
2021±0.0°C+1+1−7%
2022+0.9°C+11−11−3%
2023+0.9°C+2−4+1%
2024+0.8°C+1−25−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Kingston upon Hull, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kingston upon Hull?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±0.9 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C96±1.2 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Kingston upon Hull, scoring 98/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 83. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±61%39% to 100% chance
Monmodels agree16° to 16°±12%88% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±25%42% to 67% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±57%10% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kingston upon Hull

today, local time
Sunrise
07:45
Sunset
17:44
Daylight
9h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kingston upon Hull today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Kingston upon Hull today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kingston upon Hull today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kingston upon Hull on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 51%, American 39%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kingston upon Hull?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kingston upon Hull (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kingston upon Hull?
August is typically the warmest month in Kingston upon Hull, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Kingston upon Hull get?
The coldest month in Kingston upon Hull is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Kingston upon Hull get?
Kingston upon Hull sees roughly 665 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Kingston upon Hull?
The most comfortable time to visit Kingston upon Hull is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Kingston upon Hull?
Rarely - Kingston upon Hull very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Kingston upon Hull getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Kingston upon Hull, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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