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Kingston upon Hull weekend weather

This weekend in Kingston upon Hull, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 11° across the weekend. Agreement is low - the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range. The models agree closely on temperature but split badly on rain (39 points apart), so the rain call is the uncertain part.

Sat

2026-11-07 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Cloudy
High 11°·Low 8°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Cloudy
High 12°·Low 8°·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Light drizzle
High 11°·Low 10°·Rain 39%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-11-08 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Light drizzle
High 11°·Low 7°·Rain 17%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Light drizzle
High 9°·Low 6°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Light drizzle
High 11°·Low 8°·Rain 29%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree12° to 12°±17%16% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 13°±40%33% to 73% chance
Thu±1°11° to 12°±26%0% to 26% chance
Fri±1°11° to 12°±16%0% to 16% chance
Sat±1°11° to 12°±39%0% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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